Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.337919 0.383671 0.435909 0.500536 0.579142 0.672702 0.794103
2024-12-15 0.270933 0.330691 0.406398 0.511790 0.658863 0.863709 1.184241
2024-12-22 0.225303 0.288787 0.375242 0.506474 0.710346 1.034381 1.637038
2024-12-29 0.198303 0.264120 0.359087 0.514027 0.778479 1.254036 2.309392
2025-01-05 0.171435 0.234276 0.328585 0.490447 0.786390 1.371789 2.878191
2025-01-12 0.150053 0.209088 0.300396 0.463462 0.778672 1.454470 3.443431
2025-01-19 0.134274 0.190275 0.279194 0.443706 0.778277 1.552502 4.163746
2025-01-26 0.129692 0.188229 0.284752 0.472851 0.886013 1.965648 6.585208
2025-02-02 0.129022 0.192240 0.300958 0.525799 1.067212 2.719495 12.767136
2025-02-09 0.125121 0.190269 0.306067 0.557340 1.211102 3.507188 23.947690
2025-02-16 0.120125 0.185777 0.305740 0.576961 1.332713 4.364636 46.306884
2025-02-23 0.113414 0.177534 0.297062 0.575606 1.393230 5.044016 83.309982
2025-03-02 0.104277 0.164555 0.278439 0.549344 1.373814 5.352913 130.915733
2025-03-09 0.098190 0.156751 0.269550 0.546051 1.434165 6.275459 342.563440
2025-03-16 0.092116 0.148444 0.258669 0.535669 1.467092 7.131723 1146.589623
2025-03-23 0.088112 0.143681 0.254617 0.542460 1.570576 8.862430 55600.836362
2025-03-30 0.081965 0.134306 0.239665 0.516703 1.531985 9.247926 NaN
2025-04-06 0.076130 0.125151 0.224372 0.487626 1.469439 9.301394 NaN
2025-04-13 0.071379 0.117817 0.212461 0.466421 1.434850 9.663494 NaN
2025-04-20 0.070728 0.118479 0.218303 0.497659 1.657322 14.445486 NaN
2025-04-27 0.071537 0.122114 0.231364 0.554551 2.063948 27.547501 NaN
2025-05-04 0.070729 0.122367 0.236568 0.588520 2.389659 47.842442 NaN
2025-05-11 0.069224 0.121036 0.237783 0.609680 2.665189 80.684783 NaN